Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 54.249409 61.778175 69.568149 78.199422 87.464702 97.083140 107.794193
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.678420 52.151559 63.583702 76.860377 91.730970 107.758919 126.227004
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 34.903356 46.948236 60.630060 77.055518 95.987170 116.893683 141.501329
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 29.825182 42.885918 58.262699 77.259177 99.682534 124.936007 155.163466
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.070034 39.887005 56.692184 77.980201 103.622724 132.975550 168.592274
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 22.221595 36.309388 54.030687 77.048194 105.325093 138.198115 178.597522
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 19.926895 34.484136 53.330022 78.319748 109.510405 146.216977 191.777151
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 18.098729 33.081391 53.005512 79.925191 114.001291 154.534350 205.276142
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.613514 30.487726 50.904622 79.089768 115.336204 158.962647 214.088979
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 13.056089 27.499639 48.040010 77.062001 115.012269 161.251841 220.240868
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.383734 27.309510 48.986254 80.027017 121.002005 171.269147 235.735528
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.498588 26.685130 49.252136 82.033682 125.738815 179.738383 249.370654
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.819969 24.602088 47.318683 80.997996 126.529537 183.342599 257.153237
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.318460 22.629120 45.407307 79.882516 127.137343 186.670649 264.576929
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.293387 21.366930 44.466598 80.046053 129.377315 192.019527 274.478077
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.393190 20.214137 43.607914 80.259777 131.638844 197.370656 284.375178
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.692945 19.354235 43.145647 80.997247 134.576993 203.574946 295.342720
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.766378 17.878212 41.583166 80.043115 135.152298 206.698842 302.420787
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.315781 17.360773 41.561475 81.344960 138.811638 213.816049 314.550145
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.958817 17.002630 41.778420 82.988403 142.940614 221.554125 327.489327
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.284756 15.760627 40.390850 82.133244 143.542780 224.653025 334.520309
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.551330 14.176373 38.274596 80.057238 142.351680 225.336848 338.426722
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.484003 14.396241 39.426259 83.092629 148.427448 235.659596 354.726498